World Cup squads for this year’s World Cup have been announced and it is finally beginning to feel like it is finally upon us. There is less than a month to go and now looks the time to start thinking about the odds for World Cup 2014. Here are some suggestions of where the winning bets might be.
The outright winner market is going to be getting the most attention and there seems a very high likelihood that David Luiz, Ramires, Oscar and Willian will be collecting a World Cup winner’s medal.
Brazil might not be the most original selection but they won the 2013 Confederations Cup at a canter, beating Spain 3-0 in the final. That showed the benefit of home advantage and with no European side ever winning a World Cup in any American continent the advantage has to be with the South American sides this year, especially hosts Brazil. It is also worth noting that six of the last seven World Cups were won by teams who were rated 7/1 or below by the bookies so Brazil and Argentina look the only viable bets really with home advantage pushing things in Brazil’s favour.
The top goalscorer market is harder to find the winner of but there are always some value bets to be found. Diego Costa is expected to join Chelsea this summer and he is one of the favourites in this market at 25/1 whilst Romelu Lukaku and Fernando Torres may be on their way out and that pair are 33/1 and 50/1 respectively. The best value may come in the shape of former Arsenal target Gonzalo Higuain though.
Players representing a team that reaches the semi final are at a huge advantage here as that means they’ll play seven matches, rather than the maximum of five if you only reach the quarter final. Argentina look like they have the easiest route to the semi final with their first five matches being Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran and Nigeria and then likely knockout games against Switzerland and then Portugal or Belgium. Some will say that Messi will score the bulk of Argentina’s goals but Higuain only scored one less than Messi in qualifying whilst Higuain scored 4 goals at the last World Cup where as Messi didn’t score. Higuain is twice the price of Messi at 25/1 and looks worthy of an investment.
There are loads more betting opportunities to be had at the World Cup. You can bet on which stage each team is eliminated, where each team finishes in their group and even how many goals they score.
Written by Sam Darby.